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<p class=3DListofDiscPapers align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-top:1.0pc;margin=
-right:
0pc;margin-bottom:1.5pc;margin-left:1.8pc;text-align:center'><b
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><i><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-s=
ize:16.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:18.0pt;text-transform:uppercase'>A Century of Economic
Growth<br>
in <st1:place w:st=3D"on">Latin America</st1:place></span></i></b><a
style=3D'mso-footnote-id:ftn1' href=3D"#_ftn1" name=3D"_ftnref1" title=3D""=
><span
class=3DMsoFootnoteReference><b><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-family:Sym=
bol;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Ro=
man";
mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Symbol'><span style=3D'mso-char=
-type:
symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Symbol'>*</span></span></b></span></a><b
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><i><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-s=
ize:16.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:18.0pt;text-transform:uppercase'> <o:p></o:p></span></i>=
</b></p>

<p class=3DListofDiscPapers align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-top:1.0pc;margin=
-right:
0pc;margin-bottom:1.0pc;margin-left:1.8pc;text-align:center'><span lang=3DE=
N-GB
style=3D'font-size:14.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;mso-font-kerning:16.0pt;
mso-fareast-language:EN-GB;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold'>Pablo Astorga<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-bottom:.75pc;text-align=
:center;
line-height:15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly'><i style=3D'mso-bidi-font-=
style:
normal'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-family:"Times New Roman"'>Senior E=
conomist
at <st1:City w:st=3D"on">Oxford</st1:City> Economics<br>
Abbey House, Carfax, <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on">Oxford</s=
t1:City>,
 <st1:PostalCode w:st=3D"on">OX1 1HB</st1:PostalCode>, <st1:country-region =
w:st=3D"on">England</st1:country-region></st1:place><o:p></o:p></span></i><=
/p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-bottom:.75pc;text-align=
:center;
line-height:15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly'><i style=3D'mso-bidi-font-=
style:
normal'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-family:"Times New Roman"'>and<o:p>=
</o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-bottom:1.0pc;text-align=
:center;
line-height:15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly'><i style=3D'mso-bidi-font-=
style:
normal'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-family:"Times New Roman"'>Associate
Researcher at Instituto Figuerola<br>
Universidad Carlos III, C/ <st1:State w:st=3D"on">Madrid</st1:State>, 126, =
28903 <st1:place
w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on">Getafe</st1:City>, <st1:State w:st=3D"on"=
>Madrid</st1:State></st1:place>
Espa&ntilde;a<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-bottom:1.0pc;text-align=
:center;
line-height:15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;mso-pagination:none'><i
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-famil=
y:"Times New Roman"'>&lt;pastorga1@gmail.com&gt;<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-bottom:.5pc;text-align:=
center;
line-height:15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;mso-pagination:none'><st1:a=
ddress
w:st=3D"on"><st1:Street w:st=3D"on"><i style=3D'mso-bidi-font-style:normal'=
><span
  lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-family:"Times New Roman"'>98 Sunningwell Road<=
/span></i></st1:Street><i
 style=3D'mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-fami=
ly:"Times New Roman"'>,
 <st1:City w:st=3D"on">Oxford</st1:City>, <st1:PostalCode w:st=3D"on">OX1 4=
SY</st1:PostalCode></span></i></st1:address><i
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-famil=
y:"Times New Roman"'><o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3Dxl40 style=3D'margin-top:0pc;margin-right:0pc;margin-bottom:.5pc;
margin-left:0pc;text-align:justify;line-height:15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:
exactly;border:none;mso-padding-alt:0pc 0pc 0pc 0pc'><span lang=3DEN-GB
style=3D'font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New R=
oman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'margin-top:2.0pc;margin-right:=
0pc;
margin-bottom:.5pc;margin-left:0pc;text-align:center'><b><span lang=3DEN-GB
style=3D'font-size:20.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New =
Roman"'>Abstract<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoBodyText3 style=3D'margin-bottom:.75pc;line-height:15.0pt;mso=
-line-height-rule:
exactly'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-style:i=
talic'>This
paper makes a contribution to the study of economic growth in developing co=
untries
by analysing the six largest Latin American economies over 105 years within=
 a
two-equation framework. Confirming previous findings, physical and human
capital prove to be key determinants of GDP per capita growth. However, a m=
ore
controversial result is an overall negative conditional correlation between
trade openness and GDP per head growth &#8211; though openness has a positi=
ve
link via investment. The evidence also shows that macroeconomic instability=
 has
been a drag on long-term growth in the region.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:.75pc;text-align:justify;line-h=
eight:
15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-famil=
y:"Times New Roman"'>JEL
classifications: F43; N26; O11 <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:.5pc;text-align:justify;line-he=
ight:
15.0pt;mso-line-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-famil=
y:"Times New Roman"'>JEL
keywords: Economic Growth; Investment; Openness; <st1:place w:st=3D"on">Lat=
in
 America</st1:place> <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span lang=3DEN-GB><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

</div>

<div style=3D'mso-element:footnote-list'><![if !supportFootnotes]><br clear=
=3Dall>

<hr align=3Dleft size=3D1 width=3D"33%">

<![endif]>

<div style=3D'mso-element:footnote' id=3Dftn1>

<p class=3DMsoFootnoteText style=3D'margin-bottom:5.0pt;text-align:justify;
text-indent:0pc'><a style=3D'mso-footnote-id:ftn1' href=3D"#_ftnref1" name=
=3D"_ftn1"
title=3D""><span class=3DMsoFootnoteReference><span lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'f=
ont-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Symbol;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi=
-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Symbol'><span
style=3D'mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Symbol'>*</span></span=
></span></a><span
lang=3DEN-GB style=3D'font-size:10.0pt'> The paper benefited from comments =
by Valpy
FitzGerald, Leandro Prados, Antonio Tena, Leonardo Vera and an anonymous
referee. The author also thanks participants to a economic history seminar =
held
at the University Carlos III in <st1:State w:st=3D"on">Madrid</st1:State> a=
nd to
the LACEA meeting in <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on">Paris</st=
1:City></st1:place>
for helpful ideas.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

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