| David F. Hendry Workpage |
|
Professor of Economics,
University of Oxford.
Professorial Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford.
Fellow of the British
Academy.
Fellow of the Econometric Society. Fellow of the Royal Society
of Edinburgh. Honorary Vice-President, Royal Economic Society. Honorary
Fellow, International Institute of Forecasters. Foreign Honorary Member,
American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Foreign Honorary Member, American
Economic Association. Fellow, Journal of Econometrics. |
|
Research in Progress
- Forecasting
- Automated general-to-specific modelling strategies
- Empirical modelling
Other Nuffield College preprints in economics are available at
Nuffield Economics
Research via WWW. Also see the working paper series of the
Department
of Economics.
Projects
- Automatic Tests of Model Specification (ESRC project RES-062-23-0061)
- Economic Forecasting (ESRC project RES051270035)
Extending the Boundaries of Econometric Modelling (ESRC project
RES000230539)
Jurgen A. Doornik and David F. Hendry
- Modelling, Forecasting and Policy in the Evolving Macro-economy (ESRC
project L138251009))
Anindya Banerjee, Michael P. Clements (Warwick), David
F. Hendry, Hans-Martin Krolzig and Grayham E. Mizon (Southampton)
Final report
- The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting (ESRC project
L11625015) Anindya Banerjee, Michael P. Clements (Warwick), David F. Hendry,
Hans-Martin Krolzig and Grayham E. Mizon (Southampton)
Final report
- Modelling Non-stationarity in Economic Time Series (ESRC project
R000237500)
John N. J. Muellbauer, David F. Hendry, Bent Nielsen, Gavin
Cameron, Jurgen A. Doornik and Luca Nunziata
Annual report
- Modelling Cointegrated Processes (ESRC project R000234954) John N. J.
Muellbauer, David F. Hendry, Jurgen A. Doornik and Gavin Cameron
Data
- BDH data set accompanying Constructing Historical Euro-Zone
Data by Andreas Beyer, Jurgen A. Doornik and David F. Hendry.
|
BDHData.zip
|
BDH_data.pdf |
brief description |
| BDH_data.in7 |
PcGive data set (part 1) |
| BDH_data.bn7 |
PcGive data set (part 2) |
| BDH_data.xls |
Excel spread sheet file |
| BDH_data.txt |
Text file (without transformed data) |
- UKM1 accompanying Dynamic Econometrics and several
papers.
| dynects.zip |
M1.UKM |
log of M1, 1963 (1) -- 1989(2), ASCII file |
| P.UKM |
deflator of TFE, 1963 (1) -- 1989(3), ASCII file |
| TFE.UKM |
log of real TFE, 1963 (1) -- 1989(3), ASCII file |
| RNET.UKM |
RNET, 1963 (1) -- 1989(4), ASCII file |
| READUKM.TXT |
notes on data files |
| UKM1.IN7 |
PcGive 7 data file combination: ma=log(M1), pa=log(P),
x85a=log(TFE), RNET |
| UKM1.BN7 |
,,, |
| SJPESYS.FL |
batch file for PcFiml, does system part of SJPE paper |
| SJPEMOD.FL |
batch file for PcFiml, does model part of SJPE paper |
| SJPESYS.OUT |
output from SJPESYS.FL |
| SJPEMOD.OUT |
output from SJPEMOD.FL |
- data sets accompanying The Foundations of Econometric
Analysis.
| histects.zip |
FISHER.IN7 |
FISHER.BN7 |
|
| LEHFELDT.IN7 |
LEHFELDT.BN7 |
|
| MOORE.IN7 |
MOORE.BN7 |
|
| SCHULTZ.IN7 |
SCHULTZ.BN7 |
|
| TINBERGN.IN7 |
TINBERGN.BN7 |
TINBERGN.DAT |
- data set accompanying Modelling UK Inflation, 1875-1991
(Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 2001)
Journal of Applied Econometrics data archive.
PcGive
For information on PcGive, or to download a demo version, follow one of
the PcGive links:
- PcGive (UK)
- PcGive (USA)
- PcNaive (PcNaive is not a separate product anymore,
but now part of PcGive. This link is to PcNaive information that is included
with PcGive)
Teaching (Oxford only)
Some Links
Books
Hendry, D.F. and B. Nielsen (2007), Econometric Modeling: A Likelihood Approach.
Princeton University Press.
J. Campos, N.R. Ericsson and D.F. Hendry (2004) General
to Specific Modelling. Edward Elgar. Forthcoming.
Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2002). A
Companion to Economic Forecasting.
Oxford: Blackwell Publishers.
(ISBN 0631215697)
Hendry, D.F. and N.R. Ericsson (2001) Understanding
Economic Forecasts Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
Doornik, J.A. and D.F. Hendry (2001). Interactive Monte
Carlo Experimentation in Econometrics Using PcNaive
London:
Timberlake Consultants Press.
Doornik, J.A. and D.F. Hendry (2001). GiveWin: An
Interface to Empirical Modelling (2nd edition), London: Timberlake
Consultants Press. (ISBN 0-9533394-3-2) (1st ed. 1996, 2nd ed. 1999)
Hendry, D.F. and J.A. Doornik (2001). Empirical
Econometric Modelling Using PcGive Volumes I, II and III
London:
Timberlake Consultants Press.
(Vol I: 2nd ed. 1999, 1st ed. 1996; version
8: 1994, version 7: 1992) (Vol II: 2nd ed. 1999, 1st ed. 1997; version 8: 1994)
D.F. Hendry and H-M. Krolzig (2001). Automatic
Econometric Model Selection
London: Timberlake Consultants Press.
Hendry, D.F. (2001) Econometrics: Alchemy or
Science? 2nd Edition. Oxford: Oxford University Press. (ISBN
0-19-829354-2)
W. A. Barnett, D. F. Hendry, S. Hylleberg, T. Teräsvirta, D.
Tjøstheim, and A. Würtz (eds) (2000). Nonlinear Econometric
Modeling in Time Series. Proceedings of the Eleventh International
Symposium in Economic Theory Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1999). Forecasting
Non-stationary Economic Time Series. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1998). Forecasting
Economic Time Series.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. (ISBN
0-521-634806)
Hendry, D.F. and M.S. Morgan (1995). The Foundations of
Econometric Analysis.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. (ISBN
0-521-38043-X)
Hendry, D.F. (1995). Dynamic Econometrics. Oxford:
Oxford University Press.
(ISBN 0-19-828317-2)
Banerjee, A., J.J. Dolado, J.W. Galbraith, and D.F. Hendry
(1993). Co-integration, Error Correction and the Econometric Analysis
of Non-Stationary Data.
Oxford: Oxford University Press. (ISBN
0-19-828700-3)
Hendry, D.F. (1993). Econometrics: Alchemy or
Science?
Oxford: Blackwell Publishers. (ISBN 1-55786-264-8)
Doornik, J.A. and D.F. Hendry (1992). PcGive 7: An
Interactive Econometric Modelling System. Oxford: Institute of Economics
and Statistics, University of Oxford.
Hendry, D.F., A.J. Neale, and N.R. Ericsson (1991).
PC-NAIVE, An Interactive Program for Monte Carlo Experimentation in
Econometrics. Version 6.0. Oxford: Institute of Economics and Statistics,
University of Oxford.
Hendry, D.F. and K.F. Wallis (Eds.) (1984). Econometrics
and Quantitative Economics. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
Selected Published Papers
2007
- Hendry, D.F. and M. Massmann (2007), `Co-breaking: Recent Advances and a Synopsis of the
Literature', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 25, 33--51.
2006
- Hendry, D.F. (2006), `Robustifying Forecasts from Equilibrium-Correction Models', Journal of Econometrics, 135, 399--426.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2006), `Forecasting with Breaks',
605--657 in G. Elliott, C.W.J. Granger and A. Timmermann (eds),
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier.
- Doornik, J.A., D.F. Hendry and N. Shephard (2006), `Parallel Computation In Econometrics:
A Simplified Approach', 449--476 in E.J. Kontoghiorghes (ed.)
Handbook of Parallel Computing and Statistics, Chapman & Hall/CRC Press.
- Hendry, D.F. (2006), `A Comment on `Specification Searches in Spatial Econometrics:
The Relevance of Hendry's Methodology', Regional Science and Urban
Economics, 36, 309--312.
2005
- Hendry, D.F. and H-M. Krolzig (2005), The Properties of Automatic
Gets Modelling, Economic Journal, 115, C32--C61.
- Chevillon, G. and Hendry, D.F. (2005) `Non-parametric Direct
Multi-step Estimation for Forecasting Economic Processes, International
Journal of Forecasting, 21, 201--218.
- Granger, C.W.J. and D.F. Hendry (2005), A Dialogue Concerning a New
Instrument for Econometric Modeling, Econometric Theory, 21,
278--297.
- Hendry, D.F. (2005), Bridging the Gap: Linking Economics and
Econometrics, in C. Diebolt and C. Kyrtsou, New Trends in
Macroeconomics, Springer Verlag.
- Hendry, D.F. and C. Santos (2005), Regression Models with Data-based Indicator Variables,
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 67, 571--595.
- Campos, J., N.R. Ericsson and D.F. Hendry (2005),
Editors' Introduction to General to Specific Modelling, 1--81, Edward Elgar.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2005), Evaluating a Model by Forecast Performance,
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 67, 931--956
- Hendry, D.F. and G.E. Mizon (2005),
Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Policy Regime Shifts,
p480--502 in D.W.K Andrews, and J. Stock (eds) Identification and Inference for Econometric Models: Essays in Honor of
Thomas Rothenberg, Cambridge University Press.
2004
- Ericsson, N.R and D.F. Hendry (2004), The ET Interview: Professor
David F. Hendry, Econometric Theory, 20, 745--806.
- Hendry, D.F. and H-M. Krolzig (2004), We Ran One Regression,
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 66, 799--810.
- Hendry, D.F. (2004), The Nobel Memorial Prize for Clive W.J. Granger.
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 106, 187--213.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2004), Pooling of Forecasts.
Econometrics Journal, 7, 1--31.
- Hendry, D.F. and H-M. Krolzig (2004), Sub-sample model selection
procedures in general-to-specific modelling. 53-75 in Contemporary Issues in
Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Application, edited by R. Becker and
S. Hurn, Edward Elgar.
- Hendry, D.F. and H-M. Krolzig (2004), Automatic Model Selection: A
New Instrument for Social Science. Electoral Studies, 23,
525--544.
- Hendry, D.F. (2004), Exogeneity and Causality in Non-stationary
Economic Processes. 21--48 in New Directions in Macromodelling, edited
by A. Welfe, North Holland.
2003
- Hendry, D.F. (2003), J. Denis Sargan and the Origins of LSE
Econometric Methodology. Econometric Theory, 19, 457-480.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2003), Economic Forecasting: Some
Lessons from Recent Research Economic Modelling. 20, 301-329.
- Hendry, D.F. (2003), Forecasting Pitfalls Bulletin of EU and US
Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis. 100, 65-82.
- Hendry, D.F. and H-M. Krolzig (2003), New Developments in Automatic
General-to-specific Modelling. 379-419 in Econometrics and the Philosophy of
Economics, edited by B.P. Stigum, Princeton University Press.
- Haldrup N., Hendry, D.F. and H. van Dijk (2003), Guest Editors
Introduction: Model Selection and Evaluation in Econometrics. Oxford
Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 65, 681-688.
- Campos J., Hendry, D.F. and H-M. Krolzig (2003), Consistent Model
Selection by an Automatic Gets Approach. Oxford Bulletin of Economics
and Statistics, 65, 803-819.
- Hendry, D.F. and P.C.B. Phillips (2003), John Denis Sargan
1924--1996. Proceedings of the British Academy, 120, 385-409.
2002
- Hendry, D.F. (2002), Applied econometrics without sinning.
Journal of Economic Surveys. 16, 591-604.
- Hendry, D.F. (2002), Forecast failure, expectations formation, and
the Lucas critique. Econometrics of Policy Evaluation, Special Issue of
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 66-67, 21-40.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2002), An overview of economic
forecasting. 1-18 in A Companion to Economic Forecasting, edited by
Clements, M. P. and Hendry, D. F., Blackwell Publishers.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2002), Explaining forecast failure
in macroeconomics. 539-571 in A Companion to Economic Forecasting,
edited by Clements, M. P. and Hendry, D. F., Blackwell Publishers.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2002), Modelling methodology and
forecast failure. The Econometrics Journal, 5, 319-344..
2001
- Hendry, D.F. (2001), Achievements and challenges in econometric
methodology. Journal of Econometrics, 100.
- Hendry, D.F. (2001), Modelling UK inflation, 1875-1991. Journal
of Applied Econometrics, 16, 255-275. [data]
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2001). Forecasting with difference
and trend stationary models. The Econometrics Journal, 4, S1-S19.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2001). An historical perspective on
forecast errors. National Institute Economic Review, 177 (July),
70-82.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (2001). Explaining the results of the
M3 forecasting competition. International Journal of Forecasting,
17, 550-554. (Part of Commentaries on the M3-Competition.)
- Beyer, A., J.A. Doornik, and D.F. Hendry. (2001), Constructing
Historical Euro-Zone Data. Economic Journal, 111, 308-327.
[data]
- Hendry, D.F. and K. Juselius(2001), Explaining Cointegration
Analysis: Part II. Energy Journal, 22, 75-120.
- Krolzig, H-M. and Hendry, D.F. (2001). Computer Automation of
General-to-Specific Model Selection Procedures. Journal of Economic Dynamics
and Control, 25, 831-866.
- Hendry, D.F. and M.H. Pesaran (2001) (editors), Studies in Empirical
Macro-econometrics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16.
Editors' Introduction, pp. 197-202.
2000
- Beyer, A., J.A. Doornik and Hendry, D.F. (2000). Re-constructing
Aggregate Euro-Zone Data. Journal of Common Market Studies, 38,
57--68. [data]
- Hendry, D.F. and Clements, M.P. (2000). Economic Forecasting in the
Face of Structural Breaks. In S. Holly and M. Weale (Eds.), Econometric
Modelling: Techniques and Applications. Cambridge: Cambridge University
Press.
- Hendry, D.F. and Mizon, G.E. (2000). The Influence of A.W.H.
Phillips on Econometrics. In R. Leeson (Ed.), A.W.H. Phillips: Collected
Works in Contemporary Perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Hendry, D.F. and Mizon, G.E. (2000). On Selecting Policy Analysis
Models by Forecast Accuracy. In A.B. Atkinson, Glennerster, H. and N.H. Stern
(Eds.), Putting Economics to Work: Volume in Honour of Michio Morishima.
London School of Economics: STICERD.
- Hendry, D.F. and Juselius, K. (2000). Explaining Cointegration
Analysis: Part I. Energy Journal, 21, 1--42.
- Hendry, D.F. (2000). Epilogue: the Success of General-to-specific
Model Selection. In Hendry, D.F. Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? New
Edition. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Hendry, D.F. (2000). On Detectable and Non-detectable Structural
Change. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 11, 45--65.
- Hendry, D.F. (2000). Does Money Determine UK Inflation over the Long
Run? In R. Backhouse and Salanti, A. (Eds.), Macroeconomics and the Real
World. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
1999
- Hendry, D.F. (1999). An Econometric Analysis of US Food Expenditure,
1931-1989. In J.R. Magnus and M.S. Morgan (Eds.), Two Experiments in Applied
Econometrics. Chichester: John Wiley and Sons.
- Hendry, D.F. and Mizon, G.E. (1999). The Pervasiveness of Granger
Causality in Econometrics, p102--134 in R.F. Engle and H. White (Eds.)
Cointegration, Causality and Forecasting. Oxford University Press.
- Hendry, D.F. and Mizon, G.E. (1999). On Selecting Policy Analysis
Models by Forecast Accuracy, in A.B. Atkinson and N.H. Stern (Eds.), Putting
Economics to Work: Essays in Honour of Michio Morishima. STICERD, London
School of Economics.
- Hendry, D.F. and Krolzig, H-M. (1999). Improving on `Data Mining
Reconsidered' by K.D. Hoover and S.J. Perez. Econometrics Journal,
2, 41--58.
- Doornik, J.A. and Hendry, D.F. (1999). The Impact of Computational
Tools on Time-series Econometrics. In T. Coppock (Ed.), Information
Technology and Scholarship. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1999). On Winning Forecasting
Competitions in Economics. Spanish Economic Review, 1, 123--160.
- Ericsson, N.R. and D.F. Hendry (1999). Encompassing and Rational
Expectations: How Sequential Corroboration can imply Refutation. Empirical
Economics, 24, 1--21.
1998
- Doornik, J.A., Nielsen, B. and Hendry, D.F. (1998). Inference in
Cointegrating Models: UK M1 Revisited, Journal of Economic Surveys,
12, 533-572.
Reprinted in M. McAleer and L. Oxley (1999).
Practical Issues in Cointegration Analysis. Oxford: Blackwell
Publishers. [data]
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1998). Forecasting Economic
Processes. International Journal of Forecasting, 14, 111-131.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1998). Forecasting Economic
Processes - A reply. International Journal of Forecasting, 14,
139-143.
- Ericsson, N.R., D.F. Hendry, and G.E. Mizon (1998). Exogeneity,
Cointegration and Economic Policy Analysis. Journal of Business and Economic
Statistics, 16, 1-18.
- Ericsson, N.R., D.F. Hendry, and K.M. Prestwich (1998). The Demand
for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878-1993. Scandinavian Journal of
Economics, 100, 289-324.
- Ericsson, N.R., D.F. Hendry, and K.M. Prestwich (1998). Friedman and
Schwartz (1982) Revisited: Assessing Annual and Phase-average Models of Money
Demand in the United Kingdom. Empirical Economics, 23, 401--415.
- Hendry, D.F. and G.E. Mizon (1998). Exogeneity, Causality, and
Co-breaking in Economic Policy Analysis of a Small Econometric Model of Money
in the UK. Empirical Economics, 23, 267--294.
1997
- Hendry, D.F. (1997). On Congruent Econometric Relations: A Comment.
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 47,
163-190.
- Hendry, D.F. (1997). Cointegration Analysis: An International
Enterprise. In H. Jeppesen and E. Starup-Jensen (Eds.), University of
Copenhagen: Centre of Excellence. Copenhagen: University of Copenhagen.
- Hendry, D.F. (1997). The Econometrics of Macro-economic Forecasting.
Economic Journal, 107, 1330-1357.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1997). An Eempirical Study of
Seasonal Unit Roots in Forecasting. International Journal of
Forecasting, 13, 341-355.
- Hendry, D.F. and J.A. Doornik (1997). The Implications for
Econometric Modelling of Forecast Failure. Scottish Journal of Political
Economy, 44, 437-461.
1996
- Hendry, D.F. (1996). On the constancy of time-series econometric
equations. Economic and Social Review, 27, 401-422.
- Hendry, D.F. (1996). Typologies of linear dynamic systems and
models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 49,
177-201. Banerjee, A., D.F. Hendry, and G.E. Mizon (1996). The econometric
analysis of economic policy. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and
Statistics, 58, 573-600.
- Campos, J., N.R. Ericsson, and D.F. Hendry (1996). Cointegration
tests in the presence of structural breaks. Journal of Econometrics,
70, 187-220.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1996). Intercept corrections and
structural change. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 475-494.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1996). Multi-step estimation for
forecasting. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 58,
657-684.
- Emerson, R.A. and D.F. Hendry (1996). An evaluation of forecasting
using leading indicators. Journal of Forecasting, 15, 271-91.
- Florens, J.-P., D.F. Hendry, and J.-F. Richard (1996). Encompassing
and specificity. Econometric Theory, 12, 620-656.
1995
- Hendry, D.F. (1995). Econometrics and business cycle empirics.
Economic Journal, 105, 1622-1636.
- Hendry, D.F. (1995). On the interactions of unit roots and
exogeneity. Econometric Reviews, 14, 383-419.
- Hendry, D.F. (1995). The role of econometrics in scientific
economics. In A. d'Autume and J. Cartelier (Eds.), L'Economie Devient-elle
une Science Dure?, pp. 172-196. Paris. Reprinted in English as: Is Economics
Becoming a Hard Science? Edward Elgar, 1997.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1995). Forecasting in cointegrated
systems. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10, 127-146.
1994
- Hendry, D.F. (1994). HUS revisited. Oxford Review of Economic
Policy, 10, 86-106.
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1994). Towards a theory of economic
forecasting. In: Hargreaves, C. (Ed.) (1994). Non-stationary Time-series
Analysis and Cointegration, pp. 9-52. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Ericsson, N.R., D.F. Hendry, and H.-A. Tran (1994). Cointegration,
seasonality, encompassing and the demand for money in the United Kingdom. In:
Hargreaves, C. (Ed.) (1994). Non-stationary Time-series Analysis and
Cointegration, pp. 179-224. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Govaerts, B., D.F. Hendry, and J.-F. Richard (1994). Encompassing in
stationary linear dynamic models. Journal of Econometrics, 63,
245-270.
- Hendry, D.F. and M.P. Clements (1994). On a theory of intercept
corrections in macro-economic forecasting. In S.Holly (Ed.), Money,
Inflation and Employment: Essays in Honour of James Ball, pp. 160-182.
Aldershot: Edward Elgar.
- Hendry, D.F. and J.A. Doornik (1994). Modelling linear dynamic
econometric systems. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 41,
1-33. [data]
- Clements, M.P. and D.F. Hendry (1993). On the limitations of
comparing mean squared forecast errors. Journal of Forecasting,
12, 617-637. With discussion.
1993
- Cook, S. and D.F. Hendry (1993). The theory of reduction in
econometrics. Poznan Studies in the Philosophy of the Sciences and the
Humanities, 38, 71-100.
- Engle, R.F. and D.F. Hendry (1993). Testing super exogeneity and
invariance in regression models. Journal of Econometrics, 56,
119-139.
- Hendry, D.F. and G.E. Mizon (1993). Evaluating dynamic econometric
models by encompassing the VAR. In P.C.B. Phillips (Ed.), Models, Methods
and Applications of Econometrics, pp. 272-300. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
- Hendry, D.F. and R.M. Starr (1993). The demand for M1 in the USA: A
reply to James M. Boughton. Economic Journal, 103, 1158-1169.
1992
- Hendry, D.F. (1992). Assessing empirical evidence in
macro-econometrics with an application to consumers' expenditure in France. In
A. Vercelli and N. Dimitri (Eds.), Macroeconomics: A Survey of Research
Strategies, pp. 363-392. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Baba, Y., D.F. Hendry, and R.M. Starr (1992). The demand for M1 in
the U.S.A., 1960-1988. Review of Economic Studies, 59, 25-61.
- Banerjee, A. and D.F. Hendry (1992). Testing integration and
cointegration. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54.
Special issue.
- Banerjee, A. and D.F. Hendry (1992). Testing integration and
cointegration: An overview. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
54, 225-255.
- Favero, C. and D.F. Hendry (1992). Testing the Lucas critique: A
review. Econometric Reviews, 11, 265-306.
1991
- Hendry, D.F. and N.R. Ericsson (1991). An econometric analysis of UK
money demand in `Monetary Trends in the United States and the United Kingdom by
Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz'. American Economic Review,
81, 8-38.
- Hendry, D.F. and N.R. Ericsson (1991). Modeling the demand for
narrow money in the United Kingdom and the United States. European Economic
Review, 35, 833-886.
- Hendry, D.F. and A.J. Neale (1991). A Monte Carlo study of the
effects of structural breaks on tests for unit roots. In P.Hackl and A.H.
Westlund (Eds.), Economic Structural Change, Analysis and Forecasting,
pp. 95-119. Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
- Hendry, D.F. and J.-F. Richard (1991). Likelihood evaluation for
dynamic latent variables models. In H.M. Amman, D.A. Belsley, and L.F. Pau
(Eds.), Computational Economics and Econometrics, Chapter 1. Dordrecht:
Kluwer.
1990
- Hendry, D.F. (1990). Using PC-NAIVE in teaching econometrics.
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 53, 199-223.
- Campos, J., N.R. Ericsson, and D.F. Hendry (1990). An analogue model
of phase-averaging procedures. Journal of Econometrics, 43,
275-292.
- Hendry, D.F., E.E. Leamer, and D.J. Poirier (1990). A conversation
on econometric methodology. Econometric Theory, 6, 171-261.
- Hendry, D.F. and G.E. Mizon (1990). Procrustean econometrics: or
stretching and squeezing data. In C.W.J. Granger (Ed.), Modelling Economic
Series, pp. 121-136. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
- Hendry, D.F., J.N.J. Muellbauer, and T.A. Murphy (1990). The
econometrics of DHSY. In J.D. Hey and D. Winch (Eds.), A Century of
Economics, pp. 298-334. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
1989
- Hendry, D.F. (1989). Comment on intertemporal consumer behaviour
under structural changes in income. Econometric Reviews, 8,
111-121.
- Hendry, D.F. and M.S. Morgan (1989). A re-analysis of confluence
analysis. Oxford Economic Papers, 41, 35-52.
- Hendry, D.F. and J.-F. Richard (1989). Recent developments in the
theory of encompassing. In B. Cornet and H. Tulkens (Eds.), Contributions to
Operations Research and Economics. The XXth Anniversary of CORE, pp.
393-440. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
- Hendry, D.F., A. Spanos, and N.R. Ericsson (1989). The contributions
to econometrics in Trygve Haavelmo's the probability approach in econometrics.
Sosial&oe;konomen, 11, 12-17.
1988
- Hendry, D.F. (1988). Econometrics in action. Empirica,
2/87, 135-156.
- Hendry, D.F. (1988). Encompassing. National Institute Economic
Review, 125, 88-92.
- Hendry, D.F. (1988). The encompassing implications of feedback
versus feedforward mechanisms in econometrics. Oxford Economic Papers,
40, 132-149.
- Hendry, D.F. (1988). Some foreign observations on macro-economic
model evaluation activities at INSEE. In Groupes d'Etudes
Macroeconometriques. INSEE.
- Hendry, D.F. and A.J. Neale (1988). Interpreting long-run
equilibrium solutions in conventional macro models: A comment. Economic
Journal, 98, 808-817.
- Hendry, D.F., A.J. Neale, and F.Srba (1988). Econometric analysis of
small linear systems using PC-FIML. Journal of Econometrics, 38,
203-226.
1987
- Hendry, D.F. (1987). Econometric methodology: A personal
perspective. In T.F. Bewley (Ed.), Advances in Econometrics, Chapter 10.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Hendry, D.F. and A.J. Neale (1987). Monte Carlo experimentation
using PC-NAIVE. In T.Fomby and G.F. Rhodes (Eds.), Advances in
Econometrics, Volume 6, pp. 91-125. Greenwich, Connecticut: Jai Press Inc.
1986
- Hendry, D.F. (1986). Econometric modelling with cointegrated
variables. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 48(3).
Special issue.
- Hendry, D.F. (1986). Econometric modelling with cointegrated
variables: An overview. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
48, 201-212.
- Hendry, D.F. (1986). Empirical modelling in dynamic econometrics:
The new-construction sector. Applied Mathematics and Computation,
21, 1-36.
- Hendry, D.F. (1986). An excursion into conditional variance land.
Econometric Reviews, 5, 63-69. (Comment).
- Hendry, D.F. (1986). The role of prediction in evaluating
econometric models. In Proceedings of the Royal Society, Volume A407,
pp. 25-33.
- Hendry, D.F. (1986). Using PC-GIVE in econometrics teaching.
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 48, 87-98.
- Banerjee, A., J.J. Dolado, D.F. Hendry, and G.W. Smith (1986).
Exploring equilibrium relationships in econometrics through static models: Some
Monte Carlo evidence. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,
48, 253-277.
- Chong, Y.Y. and D.F. Hendry (1986). Econometric evaluation of linear
macro-economic models. Review of Economic Studies, 53, 671-690.
Reprinted in Granger, C.W.J. (ed.) (1990), Modelling Economic Series.
Oxford: Clarendon Press.
1985
- Hendry, D.F. (1985). Monetary economic myth and econometric reality.
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1, 72-84. Reprinted in Hendry,
D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell
Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Engle, R.F., D.F. Hendry, and D.Trumbull (1985). Small sample
properties of ARCH estimators and tests. Canadian Journal of Economics,
43, 66-93.
- Hendry, D.F. and N.R. Ericsson (1985). Conditional econometric
modelling: An application to new house prices in the United Kingdom. In:
Atkinson, A.C. and S.E. Fienberg (Eds.) (1985), Chapter 11. A Celebration of
Statistics. New York: Springer-Verlag.
1984
- Hendry, D.F. (1984). Econometric modelling of house prices in the
United Kingdom. In: Hendry, D.F. and K.F. Wallis (Eds.) (1984). Econometrics
and Quantitative Economics, pp. 135-172. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
- Hendry, D.F. (1984). Monte Carlo experimentation in econometrics.
In: Griliches, Z. and M.D. Intriligator (Eds.) (1984). Handbook of
Econometrics, Volume 2-3, Chapter 16. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
- Hendry, D.F. (1984). Present position and potential developments:
Some personal views on time-series econometrics. Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society A, 147, 327-339.
- Hendry, D.F. and G.J. Anderson (1984). An econometric model of
United Kingdom building societies. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and
Statistics, 46, 185-210.
- Hendry, D.F., A.R. Pagan, and J.D. Sargan (1984). Dynamic
specification. In: Griliches, Z. and M.D. Intriligator (Eds.) (1984).
Handbook of Econometrics, Volume 2-3, Chapter 18. Amsterdam:
North-Holland. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or
Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
1983
- Hendry, D.F. (1983). Econometric modelling: The consumption function
in retrospect. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 30,
193-220. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or
Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. (1983). On Keynesian model building and the rational
expectations critique: A question of methodology. Cambridge Journal of
Economics, 7, 69-75.
- Engle, R.F., D.F. Hendry, and J.-F. Richard (1983). Exogeneity.
Econometrica, 51, 277-304. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and J.-F. Richard (1983). The econometric analysis of
economic time series (with discussion). International Statistical
Review, 51, 111-163. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
1982
- Hendry, D.F. (1982). A reply to Professors Maasoumi and Phillips.
Journal of Econometrics, 19, 203-213.
- Hendry, D.F. (1982). The role of econometrics in macroeconomic
analysis. UK Economic Prospect, 3, 26-38.
- Hendry, D.F. and J.-F. Richard (1982). On the formulation of
empirical models in dynamic econometrics. Journal of Econometrics,
20, 3-33. Reprinted in Granger, C.W.J. (ed.) (1990), Modelling
Economic Series. Oxford: Clarendon Press and in Hendry D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
1981
- Hendry, D.F. (1981). Econometric evidence in the appraisal of UK
monetary policy. In The Third Report of the Select Committee of the House of
Commons on the Treasury and Civil Service, Volume3, pp. 1-21. HMSO.
- Davidson, J.E.H. and D.F. Hendry (1981). Interpreting econometric
evidence: Consumers' expenditure in the UK. European Economic Review,
16, 177-192. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy
or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press,
2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and T.von Ungern-Sternberg (1981). Liquidity and
inflation effects on consumers' expenditure. In A.S. Deaton (Ed.), Essays in
the Theory and Measurement of Consumers' Behaviour, pp. 237-261. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics:
Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University
Press, 2000.
1980
- Hendry, D.F. (1980). Econometrics: Alchemy or science?
Economica, 47, 387-406. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and F.Srba (1980). AUTOREG: A computer program library
for dynamic econometric models with autoregressive errors. Journal of
Econometrics, 12, 85-102. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Mizon, G.E. and D.F. Hendry (1980). An empirical application and
Monte Carlo analysis of tests of dynamic specification. Review of Economic
Studies, 49, 21-45. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
before 1980
- Hendry, D.F. (1979). The behaviour of inconsistent instrumental
variables estimators in dynamic systems with autocorrelated errors. Journal
of Econometrics, 9, 295-314.
- Hendry, D.F. (1979). Predictive failure and econometric modelling in
macro-economics: The transactions demand for money. In P.Ormerod (Ed.),
Economic Modelling, pp. 217-242. London: Heinemann. Reprinted in Hendry,
D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell
Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Davidson, J.E.H., D.F. Hendry, F. Srba, and J.S. Yeo (1978).
Econometric modelling of the aggregate time-series relationship between
consumers' expenditure and income in the United Kingdom. Economic
Journal, 88, 661-692. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993),
Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and
Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and G.E. Mizon (1978). Serial correlation as a
convenient simplification, not a nuisance: A comment on a study of the demand
for money by the Bank of England. Economic Journal, 88, 549-563.
Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or Science?
Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. (1977). On the time series approach to econometric
model building. In C.A. Sims (Ed.), New Methods in Business Cycle
Research, pp. 183-202. Minneapolis: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or Science?
Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and G.J. Anderson (1977). Testing dynamic specification
in small simultaneous systems: An application to a model of Building Society
behaviour in the United Kingdom. In M.D. Intriligator (Ed.), Frontiers in
Quantitative Economics, Volume3, pp. 361-383. Amsterdam: North Holland
Publishing Company. Reprinted in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy
or Science? Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press,
2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and F.Srba (1977). The properties of autoregressive
instrumental variables estimators in dynamic systems. Econometrica,
45, 969-990.
- Hendry, D.F. (1976). Discussion of `estimation of linear functional
relationships: Approximate distributions and connections with simultaneous
equations in econometrics' by T.W. Anderson. Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society B, 38, 24-25.
- Hendry, D.F. (1976). The structure of simultaneous equations
estimators. Journal of Econometrics, 4, 51-88. Reprinted in
Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford: Blackwell
Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and A.R. Tremayne (1976). Estimating systems of dynamic
reduced form equations with vector autoregressive errors. International
Economic Review, 17, 463-471.
- Hendry, D.F. (1975). The consequences of mis-specification of
dynamic structure, autocorrelation and simultaneity in a simple model with an
application to the demand for imports. In G.A. Renton (Ed.), Modelling the
Economy, Chapter 11. London: Heinemann Educational Books.
- Hendry, D.F. (1974). Stochastic specification in an aggregate demand
model of the United Kingdom. Econometrica, 42, 559-578. Reprinted
in Hendry, D.F. (1993), Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Oxford:
Blackwell Publishers, and Oxford University Press, 2000.
- Hendry, D.F. and R.W. Harrison (1974). Monte Carlo methodology and
the small sample behaviour of ordinary and two-stage least squares. Journal
of Econometrics, 2, 151-174.
- Hendry, D.F. (1973). On asymptotic theory and finite sample
experiments. Economica, 40, 210-217.
- Hendry, D.F. and P.K. Trivedi (1972). Maximum likelihood estimation
of difference equations with moving-average errors: A simulation study.
Review of Economic Studies, 32, 117-145.
- Hendry, D.F. (1971). Maximum likelihood estimation of systems of
simultaneous regression equations with errors generated by a vector
autoregressive process. International Economic Review, 12,
257-272. Correction in 15, p.260.
- Hendry, D.F. (1966). Survey of Student Income and Expenditure at
Aberdeen University, 1963--64 and 1964--65. Scottish Journal of Political
Economy, 13, 363--76.
This file last changed .