Events

Ambiguity-Averse Aggregation under Heterogeneous Beliefs

  • 15 Nov 2022

    12:45-14:00, Butler Room, Nuffield College

  • Economic Theory Lunchtime Workshop   Add to Calendar
Speaker: Tom Norman

University of Oxford

This event is part of the Economic Theory Lunchtime Workshop series

Abstract: If a complete-markets economy is composed of expected utility maximizers with heterogeneous beliefs and logarithmic utility, then it may be well represented via a single expected utility-maximizing agent with a “consensus belief”. For more general preferences, an “aggregation bias” necessitates alteration of the economy's fundamentals if such a representation is to be constructed. But no such aggregation bias arises if the representative agent is allowed to be ambiguity averse, in the sense that he maximizes his Choquet expected utility under a convex “consensus capacity”. The economy thus becomes ambiguity averse in the aggregate as a consequence of heterogeneity in beliefs.

The Economic Theory Lunchtime Workshops are convened by Meg Meyer