Mapping hospital demand in England and Wales

21 March 2020

Based on local demography, available hospital resources and COVID-19 increased risk factors such as age, the Leverhulme Centre’s team have identified parts of England and Wales that are at higher risk of being overwhelmed by the coronavirus health care burden.

They also provide an online tool that can be used by policymakers to identify and monitor high-risk areas and to predict the expected healthcare demand in real-time as the actual epidemic spreads.

(Mark Verhagen, David Brazel, Jennifer Dowd, Ilya Kashnitsky, Melinda Mills, ‘Predicting peak hospital demand: demographics, spatial variation, and the risk of “hospital deserts” during COVID-19 in England and Wales’, 21 March 2020. Posted on the Open Science Framework, doi: 10.31219/