I am a PhD student at the University of Oxford. My research focuses on understanding why states choose to outsource security to non-state and private actors, with what consequences. A second strand of research focuses on meta-science and replicability, particularly for quantitative studies of civil and interstate war.
Working Papers
Thomas Brailey. Conceptualising Non-State Security. 2024
Thomas Brailey. Predicting Floor Time in the South African Parliament: A User-Generated Observational Pre-Analysis Plan. 2024
Thomas Brailey, Robin Harding, and Thomas Isbell. Coups and Social Trust: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Burkina Faso. 2024
Abel Brodeur, Derek Mikola, Nikolai Cook, Thomas Brailey, Ryan Briggs, Alexandra De Gendre, Yannick Dupraz, Lenka Fiala, Jacopo Gabani, Romain Gauriot, Joanne Haddad, Goncalo Lima, J¨org Ankel-Peters, and Anna Dreber. Mass Reproducibility and Replicability: A New Hope. 2024
Thomas Brailey, Matthew Hepplewhite, and Scott Moser. Direct Replication and Additional Sensitivity and Robustness Analyses for Frederiksen (2022): A Replication Report from the Nottingham Replication Games. apr 2023
Other Publications
Liliana Andriano, Thomas J Brailey, and Mathis Ebbinghaus. Building a comprehensive database on conflict: Ethiopia, 1997–2017, 2024
As Research Assistant
J. Andres Gannon, Erik Gartzke, Jon R Lindsay, and Peter Schram. The Shadow of Deterrence: Why Capable Actors Engage in Contests Short of War. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 68(2-3):230–268, apr 2024
J. Andres Gannon. Planes, Trains, and Armored Mobiles: Introducing a Dataset of the Global Distribution of Military Capabilities. International Studies Quarterly, 67(4), sep 2023
Karthik Muralidharan, Paul Niehaus, and Sandip Sukhtankar. General Equilibrium Effects of (Improving) Public Employment Programs: Experimental Evidence From India. Econometrica, 91(4):1261–1295, jul 2023
Karthik Muralidharan, Paul Niehaus, and Sandip Sukhtankar. Identity Verification Standards in Welfare Programs: Experimental Evidence from India. The Review of Economics and Statistics, pages 1–46, 02 2023
Stefan Faridani and Paul Niehaus. Rate-optimal linear estimation of average global effects. 2022
J. Andres Gannon. One if by Land, and Two if by Sea: Cross-Domain Contests and the Escalation of International Crises. International Studies Quarterly, 66(4):474–475, sep 2022
Nikhar Gaikwad and Gareth Nellis. Overcoming the Political Exclusion of Migrants: Theory and Experimental Evidence from India. American Political Science Review, 115:1–18, 2021
