Academic Profile

Research Interests : Studying interactions between finance and the real economy; international housing and credit markets; forecasting; household behaviour.

Professor John Muellbauer is a Senior Research Fellow of Nuffield College, Professor of Economics and a Senior Fellow of the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, Oxford University. He is a Fellow of the British Academy, of the Econometric Society and of the European Economic Association and a CEPR Research Fellow. He has been a consultant to the Bank of England, HM Treasury and the UK Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG). He has been a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Board and the IMF and was a Wim Duisenberg Visiting Fellow at the ECB in 2012/13. His current research is supported by grants from the Open Society Institute and the Oxford Martin School.

Recent work includes research on sovereign debt spreads in the Eurozone; research with economists from the Banque de France, Bundesbank and ECB on interactions between finance, housing and the real economy focused on the household sector; with Janine Aron on inflation forecasting and exchange rate pass-through, and for DCLG, on mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures in the UK; with John Duca and Anthony Murphy, both at the Dallas Federal Reserve, on lessons from the role of housing in the financial crisis, on what drives US house prices, and on the implications of the long-term shift in US credit market architecture. His research with colleagues on the impact of credit market liberalization on consumer debt, spending and housing markets in the UK, US, South Africa and Australia and non‐liberalisation in Japan and Germany aims to throw new light on monetary transmission, financial stability and monetary policy. His 1980 paper with Angus Deaton, ‘An Almost Ideal Demand System’ in the American Economic Review was selected as one of the top twenty papers published in the first one hundred years of that journal.

Before coming to Nuffield College in 1981, John was Professor of Economics at Birkbeck College, London, and Lecturer at Warwick University. He obtained his first degree from Cambridge University, England and his Doctorate from the University of California.